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Predicting
the Future: Anticipating Security Events with Data Analytics
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In the last few
decades there has been enormous growth in available electronic data,
including anything from social media posts, internet browsing logs, and
communications metadata—the who, when, where, and how of our digital
interactions—to surveillance camera footage, biometric datasets, criminal
databases, and credit card records. The result? An unprecedented pool of
information at the fingertips of law enforcement and intelligence
agencies. Read more
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Russian
Energy Leverage in Central and Eastern Europe
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Russia
has historically used energy politics to influence developments in
Central and Eastern Europe. But after the Russia-Ukraine gas dispute in
2009, which cut supplies to southeastern Europe, the Europeans
have become more vigilant of their dependence on Russian energy. The
Cipher Brief analyzes the current state of Russian energy leverage in
Central and Eastern Europe, possible implications for the United
States, and what the U.S. can do to help the region gain energy
independence from Moscow.
- David Koranyi Director, Eurasian
Energy Futures Initiative, Atlantic Council
- Balázs Jarábik Nonresident Scholar,
Russia and Eurasia Program, Carnegie Endowment for International
Peace
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Bitter
Enemies to Trusted Friends: The Future of U.S.-Japan Relations
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The November
18th meeting between President-elect Donald Trump and Japan's Prime
Minister Shinzo Abe was Trump's first with a foreign head of state,
demonstrating both the importance of the U.S.-Japan relationship
and Japanese concerns over Trump's views on TPP and East Asian
security. As the President-elect's foreign policy vision coalesces, and
on the 75th anniversary of the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor, The
Cipher Brief asks: what is the future of U.S.-Japan relations?
- Nicholas Szechenyi Deputy Director of
the Japan Chair, Center for Strategic and International Studies
- Dr. Thomas Cynkin Former Vice President
and General Manager, Fujitsu Ltd.
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The
Trans-Pacific Partnership After Trump
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President-elect
Donald Trump repeatedly criticized the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)
during his campaign as a "bad deal" that would unfairly
disadvantage American workers and export jobs to Asia. He has promised
to renegotiate the agreement or, more likely, back out of the deal
altogether. Assuming that Trump follows through with his campaign
promises, The Cipher Brief looks at the future of the TPP and what
trade in the Asia Pacific might look like in a period of possible
American retrenchment.
- Clyde Prestowitz Founder and
President, Economic Strategy Institute
- Gary Hufbauer Senior Fellow, Peterson
Institute for International Economics
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The Cipher
Brief Podcast: 15 Minutes
15 Minutes is a weekly interview
podcast with the biggest names in the global security space.
In a post–election special edition,The Cipher Brief's
Executive Editor Fionnuala Sweeney talks to Jack Keane, retired
four-star general and former Vice Chief of Staff of the United States
Army. She asks General Keane for his insight
on President-elect Donald Trump's choice for Secretary of
Defense, retired Marine Corps General James Mattis, who Keane
recommended to the transition team.
Listen to 15 Minutes with General Jack Keane on
General Mattis
Also this week,The
Cipher Brief’s Executive Producer and Reporter Leone
Lakhani talks to Steve Murphy, one of the DEA agents who was
instrumental in bringing down Colombian drug lord Pablo Escobar. Murphy
and his partner Javier Pena were depicted in the Netflix series Narcos,
during their hunt for Escobar. Leone asks Murphy how much of the
series was accurate, how much was pure Hollywood, and what really
happened the day the “King of Cocaine” was killed.
Listen to Part 1 and Part 2 of 15 Minutes with Steve
Murphy here.
[A word of
warning, if you’re still watching Narcos, here’s your spoiler
alert!]
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Agenda Setter
An Open Letter to the CIA Director Nominee
Doug Wise Former Deputy Director, Defense
Intelligence Agency
Fine Print
Walter Pincus The Cipher Brief
Network Take
U.S. Presidents vs. the Kremlin
John Sipher and
Stephen L. Hall Former Members, CIA Senior
Intelligence Service
Strategic View
The Failure to Negotiate with North Korea
Ambassador
Joseph DeTrani Former Director, National
Counterproliferation Center
State of Play
Narcos: An Interview with the DEA's Steve
Murphy - Part 2
Leone Lakhani The
Cipher Brief
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The Cipher Brief is hiring.
Do you love reading The Cipher Brief as much as we
love creating it? Join us as we expand and improve the go-to digital
platform for security news and analysis.
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We're
looking for an experienced and motivated Web Design Associate to
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should have an eye for artful design and possess superior user
interface design skills. Find out more
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The
Cipher Brief's weekly inside look at news and gossip from the
world of national security and intelligence.
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STATE OF AFFAIRS: As The Dead
Drop was going to press (or whatever the electronic equivalent of
“going to press” is) – it was still uncertain who President-elect Trump
was going to nominate as Secretary of State. One name prominently
mentioned was that of retired General David Petraeus. As a possible
compromise candidate to mollify both the “Never Romney” and “Never
Rudy” crowds, Petraeus has his own set of baggage. The Dead Drop
wondered – if Petraeus were confirmed for the post – since he is still
under probation – would he need to check out with probation officers
before setting off on world travels as SECSTATE?
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