viernes, 6 de marzo de 2020


Editor-in-chief's picks

February 28, 2020

A LOOMING RECESSION REVEALS 

THE LIMITS OF ABENOMICS

When I think of Abenomics, the following words
 always come to mind: "A politician thinks of the
 next election; a statesman, of the next generation."

The American theologian and author James Freeman
 Clarke came up with that quote back in the 19th 
century. Here in the present, I can't help but ask
 myself: What will remain after Abenomics? 
The answer is, as is pointed out in our cover story
"the heaviest public debt burden of any developed
 nation, projected to rise to 2.5 times the size of the
 economy by the end of this decade."

Abe is the first Japanese prime minister to raise the consumption tax twice -- in April 2014 and 
October 2019. But we should never forget that he
 also postponed the tax hike twice -- in November
 2014 and June 2016 -- fearing a negative impact on 
the next elections. How can Japan's shrinking "next generation" pay off a debt 2.5 times as big as the 
country's GDP? It can't. It's too late. The next 
generation will, I fear, remember Abe as a great 
"politician" who always thought of the next election.

Our Asia Insight story this week focuses on
 casino bribery scandal in Japan. Opening the country 
to the casino industry is one of the Abe government's headline policies for stimulating local economies, but a bribery scandal has increasingly soured the public 
on the idea. A recent opinion poll found that nearly
 60% of Japanese want the government to either rethink 
or ditch the plan, dealing Abe yet another blow.

The prime minister's handling of the coronavirus-
hit Diamond Princess cruise ship also stirred 
controversy. Probably to avoid further criticism 
over his outbreak strategy, Abe on Feb. 27 abruptly announced nationwide school closures. Our coverage
 of the virus does not end there, though.

We have an excellent Industry in Focus feature on the outbreak's impact on China's small and midsize 
enterprises. The weakest links in China's economy 
are its smaller companies, and the virus hit them first.
 Over 85% of the country's small businesses expect to
 run out of cash within three months. Visit our website
 for frequent updates on the latest 
developments on the virus.

Lastly, in our Life & Arts section, we bring you a 
don't-miss story on a documentary about 
Imelda Marcos. It is full of recent photos of the late 
dictator's wife, who famously owned 3,000 pairs of 
shoes. She is now 90 years old, but as suggested by 
the title of the documentary -- "The Kingmaker" -- still powerful. It's an amazing story.


Shigesaburo Okumura
Editor-in-chief, Nikkei Asian Review

The editor's choice

Coronavirus, typhoons and taxes propel Japan toward recession

Tourism industry braced for disappointing year despite Olympics

Japan's casino bribery scandal deals Abe a tough

 hand

Rising public opposition jeopardizes hopes for resorts in three cities

Japan sent ship passengers home -- 

Was that correct?

Diamond Princess evacuees test positive after initial clean bills of health

Abe asks all schools in Japan to close over 

coronavirus

Shutdown from Monday risks disrupting graduations and parental work schedules

Virus hits China's economic heart -- its small

 businesses

Over 85% expect to run out of cash within three months

Coronavirus latest: New Zealand and Nigeria 

confirm 

first infections

South Korea infections top 2,000; California 33 cases, 8,400 under observation

Philippines fired up over Imelda Marcos

 documentary

Amid Duterte controversy, 'The Kingmaker' raises fresh fears over comeback of a fallen dynasty