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miércoles, 30 de septiembre de 2015
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CONSEJO
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ASIAONE20
S Korea's rise as a middle power
After attending China's high-profile military parade on Sept 3, South Korean President Park Geun Hye is in New York for the United Nations General Assembly and is due to hold summit talks with United States President Barack Obama on Oct 16.
What will likely play in American minds is the scene in Beijing suggesting the growing closeness between the two North-east Asian neighbours: that of Ms Park standing next to Chinese President Xi Jinping at the parade, a likely poke in the eye for the absent US, which is South Korea's major security ally.
Critics have questioned whether the South Korean leader is getting too close to an increasingly assertive China, first by joining the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and then attending the Beijing parade.
Some scholars, however, see South Korea playing the role of a middle power amid the growing rivalry between China and the US in the Asia-Pacific.
On the security front, the US-South Korea alliance, marked by a huge US troop presence and annual joint exercises, is a cornerstone for peace and stability on the Korean peninsula. Trade-wise, China is now South Korea's largest export market, with bilateral trade last year amounting to US$235.4 billion (S$336 billion). A free trade agreement inked in June could further boost trade to more than US$300 billion a year.
Today, Ms Park is slated to deliver a keynote address at the UN assembly, expounding South Korea's position and clarifying its commitment to global issues concerning peace, security, development and climate change, said her presidential office. It added that her speech is expected to raise the country's standing "as a middle power".
Talks involving South Korean Foreign Minister Yun Byung Se, his Japanese counterpart Fumio Kishida and US Secretary of State John Kerry will be held tomorrow on the sidelines of the UN meeting.
Many in Seoul, meanwhile, want an explication of South Korea's ties with the US. An editorial in Chosun Ilbo said South Korea needs to reassure the US over its ties with China while bolstering relations with Japan. The government's "credibility could be damaged if it is seen by the international community as dancing to Beijing's tune", it added.
But some analysts feel there is no conflict in South Korea's relations with the US and China.
"The US is our key ally... while China is a country sharing common interests with us in many respects, including economic co-operation and denuclearisation of North Korea," said Dr Chung Eun Sook, a senior research fellow at Sejong Institute.
Dr Kim Byung Ki, a professor of politics and international relations at Korea University, noted that even though Seoul has been strengthening its economic ties with Beijing, this would not lead to a security alliance as China is bound by treaty to defend North Korea in times of war.
Said Dr Kongdan Oh of the Institute for Defence Analyses: "President Park has displayed a very pragmatic and mature leadership. Engaging China with an open mind will be the best course... as a smaller power very close to China."
Given that Ms Park knows how crucial a strong South Korea-US alliance is in deterring the unpredictable North Korea, she would want to reaffirm her country's ties with the US at her upcoming summit with Mr Obama, Dr Oh added.
Buoyed by a rise in approval ratings after her hard-line approach to North Korea's latest provocation, Ms Park appears to have relaxed her stance towards dialogue with Japan. She had earlier refused to enter into talks unless Tokyo offers a clear resolution on historic issues like comfort women.
"My hunch on why she is now slightly flexible towards Japan is the confidence she gained from the very cordial and trusting relationship with President Xi Jinping," said Dr Oh.
In a significant step towards better ties in North-east Asia, Ms Park and Mr Xi mutually agreed to hold a trilateral meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe by early November in Seoul.
The summit was last held in 2012, before Ms Park assumed office. Some scholars hope that South Korea can step up as a middle power, exerting some influence on the US over the AIIB, which Washington disapproves of, or speaking up against China's aggressiveness in territorial disputes in the South China Sea.
"If South Korea manages its relations with these neighbours and a Pacific power equitably, it may just end up as the fulcrum of peace in the region," said Dr Lim Tai Wei, adjunct research fellow at Singapore's East Asian Institute.
"But if its delicate dance with the major powers has a misstep, for example, perceptions of tilting too far to one side, South Korea can face diplomatic and economic challenges.
"So far, it has been very skilful."
This article was first published on September 28, 2015.
Get a copy of The Straits Times or go to straitstimes.com for more stories
martes, 29 de septiembre de 2015
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Meet the 2015 MacArthur Fellows
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lunes, 28 de septiembre de 2015
México-China
Estimados
amigos e interesados en China y la relación México-China:
Por este medio nos permitimos informarles que el Embajador JORGE GUAJARDO dictará una conferencia en el marco del Ciclo de Conferencias China-México del Cechimex titulada "REFLEXIONES SOBRE LA RELACIÓN MÉXICO-CHINA. MITOS Y REALIDADES ".
El evento se llevará a cabo el miércoles 7 de octubre a las 10 a.m. en el Aula Magna Jesús Silva Herzog, primer piso del Edificio Anexo de la Facultad de Economía, Ciudad Universitaria UNAM. Mayores informes al 56222195 y ver el mapa de ubicación en: http://www.economia.unam.mx/.
El Embajador Jorge Guajardo es Director de McLarty Associates (Washington), fue Embajador de México en China (2007-2013) y Cónsul General de México en Austin (2005-2007). Cuenta con una larga trayectoria en el sector privado y ha sido editorialista en diversos medios, así como conferencista de prestigiosas universidades.
De igual forma nos permitimos informales:
1. Revisen el último documento de los Cuadernos de Trabajo del Cechimex.
Guoqiang
Long.
"One Belt, one Road: a New Vision for Open, include Regional
Cooperation",
en: http://dusselpeters.com/CECHIMEX/Revista_Cchmx_4_2015.pdf.
2. Nos permitimos invitarlos al grupo de conferencias sobre teoría y estudios empíricos:
a. miércoles
30.8., 12pm, Keun Lee, "Catch
up by the Latecomers and a Theory of Catchup Cycles: Experiences of Big
Business"
y,
b. jueves
1.10, 12pm, Suzanne Berger, "Innovation
and Production, the MIT Study".
Ambos eventos se
realizarán con un grupo de comentaristas y en la Facultad de Economía en Ciudad
Universitaria, UNAM.
3. Los invitamos a revisar la reciente comparecencia en el Senado de Estados Unidos -Comité Conjunto entre los Subcomités de Asia y el Pacífico, así como sobre el Hemisferio Occidental- realizada el 10.9.2015 y titulada "China´s Advance in Latin America and the Caribbean" con un grupo de testimonios de relevancia: https://foreignaffairs.house.gov/hearing/joint-subcommittee-hearing-china-s-advance-latin-america-and-caribbean .
4. El Atlantic Council acaba de publicar el documento "China´s Evolving Role in Latin America. Can it be a Win-Win?", que puede consultarse en: http://dusselpeters.com/88.pdf
Saludos, enrique dussel peters
Dr. Enrique Dussel Peters
Profesor
Posgrado en Economía
Coordinador
Centro de Estudios China-México
Facultad de Economía
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Visítanos en Facebook:
@Centro de estudios China_México UNAM
@Cuadernos de trabajo del Cechimex FE UNAM
En Twitter:
@Cechimex_UNAM
http://www.economia.unam.mx/cechimex
http://dusselpeters.com/
Por este medio nos permitimos informarles que el Embajador JORGE GUAJARDO dictará una conferencia en el marco del Ciclo de Conferencias China-México del Cechimex titulada "REFLEXIONES SOBRE LA RELACIÓN MÉXICO-CHINA. MITOS Y REALIDADES ".
El evento se llevará a cabo el miércoles 7 de octubre a las 10 a.m. en el Aula Magna Jesús Silva Herzog, primer piso del Edificio Anexo de la Facultad de Economía, Ciudad Universitaria UNAM. Mayores informes al 56222195 y ver el mapa de ubicación en: http://www.economia.unam.mx/.
El Embajador Jorge Guajardo es Director de McLarty Associates (Washington), fue Embajador de México en China (2007-2013) y Cónsul General de México en Austin (2005-2007). Cuenta con una larga trayectoria en el sector privado y ha sido editorialista en diversos medios, así como conferencista de prestigiosas universidades.
De igual forma nos permitimos informales:
1. Revisen el último documento de los Cuadernos de Trabajo del Cechimex.
2. Nos permitimos invitarlos al grupo de conferencias sobre teoría y estudios empíricos:
3. Los invitamos a revisar la reciente comparecencia en el Senado de Estados Unidos -Comité Conjunto entre los Subcomités de Asia y el Pacífico, así como sobre el Hemisferio Occidental- realizada el 10.9.2015 y titulada "China´s Advance in Latin America and the Caribbean" con un grupo de testimonios de relevancia: https://foreignaffairs.house.gov/hearing/joint-subcommittee-hearing-china-s-advance-latin-america-and-caribbean .
4. El Atlantic Council acaba de publicar el documento "China´s Evolving Role in Latin America. Can it be a Win-Win?", que puede consultarse en: http://dusselpeters.com/88.pdf
Saludos, enrique dussel peters
Dr. Enrique Dussel Peters
Profesor
Posgrado en Economía
Coordinador
Centro de Estudios China-México
Facultad de Economía
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Visítanos en Facebook:
@Centro de estudios China_México UNAM
@Cuadernos de trabajo del Cechimex FE UNAM
En Twitter:
@Cechimex_UNAM
http://www.economia.unam.mx/cechimex
http://dusselpeters.com/
Asian Currents
The following article has been posted on Asian Currents:
Behind the advertising and glossy brochures, TIM FREWER finds a starkly different reality in a Cambodian province.
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