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July 9, 2019


CHINAFILE

The New Tiananmen Papers

In the aftermath of the June 4, 1989, massacre of Chinese protesters in Beijing’s Tiananmen Square, President George H.W. Bush set out to reassure the Chinese government that the United States remained committed to a strong Sino-American relationship. The reasons for this were partly practical — the U.S. viewed China as a key strategic bulwark against the Soviet Union — and partly ideological. One day after the massacre, Bush told reporters that “the depth of the feeling towards democracy in China is so great that you can’t put the genie back in the bottle and return to total repression.”

The post-Tiananmen actions of the U.S. government are laid out in a series of declassified documents available at the George H.W. Bush Presidential Library at Texas A&M University. China scholar David Shambaugh, who photographed these documents during a recent visit to the archive, shared them with ChinaFile. Shambaugh writes that the president’s decision to reaffirm ties with China marked “a turning point in the history of China and U.S.-China relations, and Bush did not hesitate to choose the side of national interests over moral indignation or squeezing the Chinese Communist regime harder so that it might actually collapse or be overthrown.”

Read the documents here. In addition to Shambaugh, Evan Medeiros, Susan Thornton, James Mann, James Green, and Orville Schell have contributed their thoughts in the most recent ChinaFile conversation.


POLICY

Trade War: How the U.S. and China Misread Each Other 

At the conclusion of the recent G20 summit, the United States and China agreed to resume negotiations over ending the trade dispute between the two countries. Asia Society Policy Institute Vice President Wendy Cutler sees the resurrection of talks as a positive outcome — but says it is unlikely a deal will materialize quickly.

“Both sides really need the political will, the political guidance, and the political commitment to reach a deal,” she said during an appearance on the Congressional Quarterly Roll Call podcast, “and I don’t think either side feels that urgency right now.”

Why did the previous round of talks break down in early May? Cutler attributes their failure to the U.S. and China misreading each other.

“[Chinese President] Xi Jinping thought [U.S. President Donald] Trump needed a deal desperately, and therefore just crossed things out of the negotiating text. [Xi thought] Trump wouldn’t care and would say ‘fine, we’re done,’” Cutler said. “That didn’t happen, and talks broke down.

“But the U.S. has also misread China,” she added. “I think the U.S. thought that China’s economy was so weak, and the tariffs would make it so difficult for Xi Jinping, that China would basically agree to American demands in this negotiation. That has not happened. China’s position, I think, has hardened over the past seven weeks.”

Listen to the entire podcast here. Cutler also spoke about the U.S.-China trade dispute as well as other issues during a recent conversation with the U.S.-China Business Council. Watch here.


ARTS

Architecture, Conservation, and Indentity in India 

Asia Society India recently hosted two discussions exploring the nature of architecture, a subject infused with notions of Indian identity.

On June 22, George Jose spoke with filmmakers Avijit Mukul Kishore and Rohan Shivkumar about their documentary films Nostalgia for the Future and Lovely Villa, focusing on questions of modernity, architecture, and identity. Watch the complete video here. And on June 27, leading conservation architect Vikas Dilawari delivered a lecture and presentation on the history of Mumbai's built heritage and the process and impact of the city's conservation projects. Watch the complete video here.

UPCOMING EVENTS

  • Orville Schell and Susan Shirk, co-chairs of the Task Force on U.S.-China Policy, will discuss their report Course Correction: Toward an Effective and Sustainable China Policy during executive roundtable discussions held in Silicon Valley on July 10 and in San Francisco on the following day. More details here.
  • Graham Fletcher, Australia’s ambassador to China, will discuss the bilateral relationship during an executive briefing held July 10 in Sydney and the following day in Melbourne.
  • Asia Society Policy Institute’s Lindsey Ford and other experts will participate in a one-day dialogue on the burgeoning relationships between East Asia and the Middle East on July 12 at the Hotel Jen Tanglin in Singapore. Details here.
  • The drummer and composer Susie Ibarra leads the DreamTime Ensemble in a performance of Fragility: A Game in Polyrhythms on July 13 at Governors Island in New York. More information here.


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