jueves, 25 de julio de 2019


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Wednesday July 24, 2019 
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New Lessons Lead to New War Plans for India and Pakistan


Cipher Brief Expert and former senior member of the British Foreign Office Tim Willasey-Wilsey takes a close look at how events between India and Pakistan earlier this year have changed the rules for potential war between the two nuclear states.

Read the full piece here...
 



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Intel Brief: Malicious Hacking targets U.S. Political Organizations 


The success of Russia’s meddling in 2016 U.S. election ensures that Moscow will employ similar disinformation efforts as 2020 approaches.
  • Indicating the severity of the threat, DNI Dan Coats recently announced the creation of the federal government’s first ‘election threats executive.’
     
  • Both governments and private sector firms have struggled to counter the malign influence of disinformation campaigns waged via social media.
     
  • Protecting the integrity of the American election system needs to be viewed for what it is: a national security imperative that deserves the requisite resources.


The 2020 Cipher Brief Threat Conference 

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The Headlines:
U.S., China to Resume Trade Talks Next Week; Mexico: AMLO's Growth Forecast Unshaken by IMP Cut; Venezuela: Congress Approves Mutual Defense Agreement; Spain: Acting PM Fails in First Attempt to Form Government; United Kingdom: Boris Johnson Elected as New Prime Minister; Romania: Three Sentenced in U.S. Hacking Scheme; Russia: LGBT Activist Murdered in St. Petersburg; North Korea: New Submarine Could Increase Range of Missiles; South Korea: Warning Shots Fired at Russian Jets; Iran: Nuclear Deal Signatories to Meet in Vienna; Syria: State Media Says Israel Struck Army Outpost in South; Cameroon: Security Forces Kill Civilians, Watchdog Says.

The Lead


U.S., China to Resume Trade Talks Next Week.  A U.S. delegation is expected to travel to China for trade talks next week, marking what would be the first in-person talks since last month’s G20 summit.  U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin will travel to Shanghai for meetings with China’s Vice Premier Liu He and his team to resume formal negotiations following their collapse in May.  Lighthizer and Mnuchin stressed in “very strong terms” in recent phone calls with Chinese negotiators that the U.S. wants China to agree to buy more American agricultural products.  White House economic adviser Lawrence Kudlow on Tuesday said that China appears willing to do so as a “good-will gesture.”  The Wall Street Journal
 





Asia


North Korea: New Submarine Could Increase Range of Missiles.  Kim Jong-un has inspected a newly built submarine, state news media reported on Tuesday, a provocative move as the United States struggles to resume dialogue on ending the country’s nuclear and missile threats.  The Korean Central News Agency said the country planned to deploy the submarine soon in waters off its east coast.  The report included photographs of Kim visiting a shipyard where the submarine was built.  The photos showed part of the submarine, but the article revealed no technical details on the submarine.  Along with its intercontinental ballistic missiles, North Korea’s submarine and submarine-launched ballistic missile programs pose one of the biggest military threats to the United States and its regional allies.  The New York Times 

South Korea: Warning Shots Fired at Russian Jets.  South Korean jets on Tuesday fired 360 rounds of warning shots after a Russian military plane twice violated South Korea's airspace off the country's east coast.  An unspecified number of South Korean fighter jets scrambled to the area and fired 10 flares and 80 rounds from machine guns as warning shots.  The Russian reconnaissance aircraft left the area but later returned and violated South Korean airspace again for four minutes.  South Korea said it was the first time a foreign military plane had violated South Korean airspace since the 1950-53 Korean War.  Russia denies that the incident occurred. CBS News Al-Jazeera BBC
 




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