viernes, 18 de octubre de 2019

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October 15, 2019


POLICY

U.S., China Reach a 'Light' Deal on Trade. What's Next?

It isn’t a grand bargain that will bring an end to the U.S.-China trade war. But it’s something. Last week, Beijing agreed to purchase $40 to $50 billion worth of U.S. agricultural products (timeframe unspecified) and to address some American concerns over intellectual property protection and currency management, details to be provided. In exchange, Washington agreed not to apply tariff hikes scheduled to go into effect this week.

President Donald Trump referred to the verbal agreement as a “very substantial phase one deal” — but the two sides are far from resolving fundamental differences over issues like Chinese support for strategic industries and state-owned enterprises.

Asia Society Policy Institute Vice President Wendy Cutler told Bloomberg that the contours of the agreement were similar to previous deals negotiated by the Trump administration that the president had rejected.

“It looks more like a ‘light’ deal than a ‘substantial’ deal,” she said.

What to look for next: President Trump is expected to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the Asia Pacific Economic Conference on November 15-16 in Santiago, Chile. Among other things, the fate of the scheduled December 15 U.S. tariff increases is still unresolved.

Photo by: Win McNamee/Getty Images

POLICY

Kevin Rudd, Other Former World Leaders Warn That Trade War Threatens Global Economy

Asia Society Policy Institute President and former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd co-authored an op-ed in The New York Times along with nine other former presidents and prime ministers from center-left and center-right governments around the world arguing that the U.S.-China trade war is the single greatest threat to global economic growth.

“ ... we see global growth in trade lagging behind general economic growth for the first time in decades,” Rudd and his co-authors wrote. “In part, this is the product of the expanding trade war between America and China, the world’s two largest economies. In part, it is because of a more general outbreak of protectionism around the world. Both these factors threaten continued global prosperity.”

“The tariff war has been creating economic uncertainty, depressing international investor confidence, compounding downward pressure on growth and increasing the risk of recession,” they continued. “The disruption of global supply chains is already profound, and it may continue until a final deal is reached.”

The others in the group of 10 are former New Zealand Prime Minister Helen Clark, former Swedish Prime Minister Carl Bildt, former French Prime Minister Francois Fillon, former Canadian Prime Minister Joe Clark, former Italian Prime Minister Enrico Letta, former Netherlands Prime Minister Jan Peter Balkenende, former Mexican Presidents Felipe Calderon and Ernesto Zedillo, and former South Korean Prime Minister Han Seung-soo.



CHINAFILE

What the Recent NBA Controversy Says About China

When Houston Rockets General Manager Daryl Morey tweeted his support for Hong Kong’s ongoing protests earlier this month, he probably didn’t expect to spark an international crisis. But that’s precisely what happened when the Chinese Basketball Association (CBA) announced it would suspend cooperation with the Rockets, forcing the National Basketball Association (NBA) to express regret for the incident lest its multi-billion dollar business in China be placed in jeopardy.

The controversy over the NBA is only the most recent example of how China’s censorship apparatus now extends beyond its borders. The latest ChinaFile Conversation considers the implications of this change, and how American companies and citizens can balance freedom of expression with the imperative of doing business in China.

Photo by: Kevin Frayer/Getty Images


CURRENT AFFAIRS

A Plan for Fixing Democracy

Philanthropist Nicolas Berggruen, co-founder and chairman of the Berggruen Institute, stopped by Asia Society on Thursday to promote his new book Renovating Democracy: Governing in the Age of Globalization and Digital Capitalism. He chatted with Asia Society President and CEO Josette Sheeran.

Photo by: Elsa Ruiz/Asia Society


WHAT WE'RE READING

How Sophia Chang Conquered the Music Business

Asia Society’s C. Nana-Oye Addo-Yobo recommends an interview with the one and only Sophia Chang:

“Sophia Chang, self-described “music business matriarchitect,” is the former manager of RZA, GZA, and Ol’ Dirty Bastard of the Wu-Tang Clan, A Tribe Called Quest and Q-Tip, D’Angelo, and Raphael Saadiq (to name a few). Here she tells her Asian American/Canadian story and her personal and unique journey as an architect of the golden era of hip-hop.”

UPCOMING EVENTS

October 24: The sixth annual Asia Game Changer Awards are almost here! This year, Asia Society celebrates a remarkable all-female group of honorees at a dazzling ceremony in New York. Learn more — and get your ticket today.

October 16: Top columnists and editors from The Financial Times and Nikkei Asian Review will gather at Asia Society New York for a panel discussion and Oxford-style great debate on the U.S.-China race for technological supremacy. Learn more.

October 17: The annual U.S.-China Cultural Investment Forum returns to Asia Society New York for a full day of presentations and panel discussions. Find out more here.

October 21: Nicolas Berggruen discusses his new book Renovating Democracy with Asia Society Southern California Chairman Dick Drobnick in Los Angeles. Learn more.

October 21: Authors and physicians Azra Raza and Siddhartha Mukherjee discuss humanity’s quest to cure cancer at Asia Society New York. This program will be available free via live webcast. Details here.


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