viernes, 31 de enero de 2020

Nikkei ASIAN REVIEW

Editor-in-chief's picks

January 31, 2020


CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK

As the first month of 2020 draws to a close, it
 is becoming increasingly clear to me that the year 
 will be far more turbulent than I had expected.

The spread of the deadly coronavirus shows no 

signs of slowing. When our cover story on the outbreak 
 went online on Wednesday, Jan. 29, we wrote
 that the number of confirmed cases totaled 
4,593, with 106 deaths. Two days later, the
 numbers had already surged to 9,692 and 213,
 respectively. By the time you receive this letter,
 those numbers will probably feel like something
 from the distant past.

But even though the figures will have changed, 

it is a must-read story and provides a comprehensive overview of the risks posed by the virus. 
It also offers context by examining high-profile
 outbreaks from the past, including SARS, 
MERS and Ebola. Otto von Bismarck, the
 "iron-blooded" German chancellor, once said
, "Fools say they learn from experience; I prefer to 
learn from the experience of others." I believe that
 reports like ours will help us measure and forecast 
the impact of the novel coronavirus.

Although Chinese President Xi Jinping appears

 to be trying hard to learn from his country's history
 with the SARS outbreak, his actions proved to have
 come too late. According to a paper published in the prestigious New England Journal of Medicine, "there is evidence that human-to-human transmission has occurred
among close contacts since the middle of
 December 2019." If Beijing had acted faster, 
we probably could have avoided, or at least curbed, 
this massive outbreak.

For the latest information, please visit our 

website to receive frequent updates. We have
 a special "Coronavirus Outbreak" page dedicated
 to coverage of the topic. If you are a risk-taker
 who prefers to lean against the wind, one story
 I strongly recommend is
 "Investors seek drugmakers in rush to treat coronavirus."

Amid this scare, it wouldn't surprise me if many 

of you prefer staying home to going out. It's perhaps
 fitting, then, that our Industry in Focus story this 
week looks at India's food delivery business. If, as 
Amazon.com CEO Jeff Bezos predicts, "the 21st
 century is going to be the Indian century," we 
should keep a close watch on two food delivery
 giants, Zomato and Swiggy.

Our Asia Insight story this week -- "Economic Jihad"

-- is about an Indonesian entrepreneur who runs convenience stores catering to Muslims. It provides fascinating insights into the economy and society in Indonesia, where, as one person in the story says,
 "Muslims are the majority, but they're at the bottom
 of the pyramid."

For weekend reading, we have a sweet story for you -- literally. It's about chocolate made from Taiwanese cacao.

 The island is famous for its tapioca milk tea 
 (or bubble tea) and pineapple cakes, but don't underestimate its chocolate. According to the story, 
Taiwan garnered seven gold, 26 silver and
 five bronze medals at the International 
Chocolate Awards World Final in 2019. 
 You should try it.


Shigesaburo Okumura
Editor-in-chief, Nikkei Asian Review

This Week's Highlights

Coronavirus: Economic contagion is already rippling

 through Asia

Authorities scramble to limit fallout of the virus, now spread across 15 countries

Coronavirus study on early human transmission fuels 

public anger

Findings by Chinese researchers contradict government accounts

Investors seek drugmakers in rush to treat coronavirus

Generic antivirals may help while medics scramble to develop vaccine

Zomato eats Uber as India food fight enters new round

China-funded proxies wrestle Amazon and Google over $5bn pie

Indonesia's wealth gap spurs Muslims to join 

'economic jihad'

Devout citizens strive to take on tycoons with convenience stores

Taiwan's chocolate is making a sweet impression 

on global consumers

Despite small crops and uneven farming, Pingtung's cocoa industry is booming


: Nikkei Asian

Nikkei Asian Preview

January 27, 2020

Lunar New Year numbers, India's budget, and Samsung and Apple earnings

Welcome to Nikkei Asian Preview, a list of the most important business, 
economic and political events happening in Asia each week.

Here's what we're watching:

MONDAY

Bolsonaro wraps India trip
Brazil's controversial President Jair Bolsonaro ends his four-day trip to

 India, a fellow BRICs member. Over the weekend, Bolsonaro attended
 India's 71st Republic Day Parade as Prime Minister Narendra Modi's 
guest of honor, an unusually warm welcome for the Latin American 
leader who has been shunned for racist and sexist rhetoric.

Outside the presidential palace, demonstrators called for Bolsonaro

 to "go back." Among them were sugar farmers protesting a
 World Trade Organization investigation on India's sugar subsidies 
initiated by Brazil, and human rights activists demanding justice
 for their Brazilian peer Marielle Franco, who was assassinated in 2018.

The two premiers, both from the strongman school of leadership, also

 held high-level talks in New Delhi to enhance bilateral cooperation on
 energy and trade.

TUESDAY

Maruti Suzuki results
Is the worst of India's car slump over? The country's top-selling c

armaker Maruti Suzuki India, majority owned by Japan's Suzuki Motor, 
will give some clues today when it releases third-quarter earnings. India 's automobile industry is struggling to recover from its worst-ever downturn
 in 2019, which forced companies to cut production and slash tens of
 thousands of jobs.

WEDNESDAY

Apple results
After its stock price more than doubled within a year -- rising more

 than 30% in the past three months alone -- Apple is expected to
 report first-quarter results for the fiscal year 2020 on Tuesday at 2 p.m.
 PST (Wednesday at 7 a.m. JST).

Analysts and investors are closely watching if the U.S. smartphone 

maker can live up to bullish expectations of iPhone 11s sales. 
The growth may be driven by smartphone sales in the China 
market and the services and wearable sectors, as Apple tries 
to diversify revenue stream to become less iPhone-dependent.

THURSDAY

Coronavirus hurts Chinese travel
Just how much the Wuhan virus scare has affected the world's 

biggest annual travel season should become clear on Thursday, 
when Chinese officials will publish estimates of how many 
domestic and international trips citizens took over the Lunar
 New Year holiday -- and how much they spent.

In early January, authorities had projected citizens would take

 440 million train trips and about 79 million plane trips
 -- but that was before transport links with the hard-hit city of 
Wuhan were cut last week.

On the same day, top executives of Las Vegas Sands, which 

holds the largest market share among casino operators in Macao,
 the world's busiest gambling hub, are due to give a
 quarterly update. Analysts will be listening for word on how 
much the virus is dampening action at the tables in Macao, 
which has already confirmed cases of viral infection among 
travelers arriving from Wuhan.

Samsung and Naver 4Q earnings
South Korea's tech giant Samsung Electronics and internet company

Naver will announce fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday.

Samsung suffered from a downturn in semiconductor

 business in 2019, but analysts say it may rebound this year 
as memory chip prices have hit bottom. Whether Vice Chairman 
Lee Jae-yong will be arrested again on charges of bribery is 
another issue weighing on the company.

Background: Can Samsung stay on course?

Analysts will be listening for updates on Naver's plan to set up a 

joint venture between its Japanese subsidiary Line and SoftBank 
Group's Yahoo Japan. The venture would create a digital payment
s challenger to Google, Alibaba and Tencent. But Naver is already 
in the crosshairs of Seoul's antitrust regulator.

FRIDAY

China reports monthly PMI
China appears set to report upbeat numbers in its official monthly

 manufacturing purchasing managers' index. Year-end GDP figures
 released earlier this month and the signing of U.S.-China
 "phase one" trade deal have led economists to nudge their
 expectations for economic growth higher on signs of a 
nascent recovery in industrial activity. But the 
Lunar New Year break and spreading worries about
 the Wuhan virus may weigh on respondents' sentiment.

SK Hynix and LG Display 4Q earnings
More fourth quarter earnings will come from South Korean 

chipmaker SK Hynix and panel maker LG Display on Friday.

Like Samsung, SK Hynix bore the brunt of memory chip woes in 2019, 

but expects a turnaround this year. Meanwhile, LG Display is
 embarking on a transformation of its business structure to
 focus on high-tech OLED, after Chinese players caught up 
on cheap LCD technology.

Brexit kicks in
The United Kingdom on Friday will finalize its divorce from the

 European Union. When Prime Minister Boris Johnson gets 
past the pomp and ceremony of the occasion, he will have 
some big calls to make. Johnson will be free to negotiate a
 trade deal with the European bloc, as well as with the 
U.S., China, Japan and a host of potential partners.

Why it matters to business: Perhaps Johnson's first call will be

whether to allow Huawei to participate in building 
 Britain's 5G network. While Johnson himself asked earlier this
 month "What's the alternative?," he's under pressure from 
U.S. President Donald Trump to ditch the Chinese tech giant ove
r national security concerns. Washington has threatened to 
end intelligence sharing if London proceeds with Huawei.

Why it matters to Asia: Japanese and other companies across 

Asia are watching carefully to see what kind of deal the U.K.
 can strike with the EU, as it directly impacts investment in Britain.

WEEKEND

India budget announcement and economic survey
India's budget for the financial year starting in April will 

be announced on Saturday. An economic slowdown has put 
pressure on the government of Prime Minister Narendra Modi
 to take immediate steps to stimulate demand.

A day prior, the Finance Ministry will table in Parliament

 its annual Economic Survey, providing a detailed account
 of the state of the Indian economy.

Related articles

India auto market skids to No. 5 behind

 Germany in 2019

With sales down 13%, slump hits every major brand except Renault

Japan and US make plans to evacuate citizens

 from Wuhan

Hong Kong Disneyland closes over coronavirus fears as death toll rises

Xi orders all-China response to 

Wuhan coronavirus

Foreign governments ready to evacuate citizens from center of outbreak

Samsung on trial: Can top South Korea company

 stay on course?

Electronics giant aims for strategic shift in chips as its leader faces possible jail

Asian companies face tough calls on Brexit 

after Johnson's UK win

British PM is now more likely to push for 'harder' divorce from EU


Boletín de Actividades

Conferencia “Estrategia de Japón sobre el Tratado de Libre Comercio: ¿una conexión entre dos grandes potencias?”


Barcelona, 3 de febrero. El Dr. Takemasa Sekine, experto en derecho económico internacional y profesor de la Graduate School of Management de la Nagoya University of Commerce & Business (NUCB), proporcionará en esta conferencia un conjunto de ideas clave sobre el futuro de las relaciones comerciales internacionales a través del análisis comparativo del Acuerdo de Asociación Económica UE-Japón (EPA) y del Acuerdo Comercial entre EE.UU. y Japón.

SAVE THE DATE


Casa Asia abre las inscripciones para los cursos del segundo cuatrimestre de 2019-2020


Enero-marzo 2020 Barcelona y Madrid.


Más info  


Abiertas las inscripciones al segundo cuatrimestre de cursos de japonés 2019-2020 en Barcelona y Madrid


Enero-marzo 2020 Barcelona y Madrid.

Más info  


Sábado 1 de febrero


Ciclo de cine: "Conocer la India en los Cinemes Girona"


1 de febrero al 28 de marzo Cinemes Girona, Barcelona.


Más info  


Martes 4 de febrero


Asia. Seminario de antropología del viaje


4 de febrero al 5 de marzo Can Jaumandreu, Barcelona.

Más info  


Miércoles 5 de febrero


Ciclo "Juegos de mesa: Hanamikoji"


20.00 h Casal de barrio La Llacuna, Barcelona.


Más info  


Jueves 6 de febrero


Presentación del proyecto: "Arquitecturas del tránsito" por Teresa Esteban


19.00 h Centro Casa Asia-Madrid.


Más info  


Viernes 7 de febrero


Taller: "Introducción a la caligrafía china"


7 de febrero al 27 de marzo Can Jaumandreu, Barcelona.

Más info  


Taller: "Introducción a la pintura china"


7 de febrero al 27 de marzo Can Jaumandreu, Barcelona.

Más info  


Próximamente...


Conferencia “La mujer japonesa en el teatro Takarazuka”


12 de febrero Can Jaumandreu, Barcelona.


Más info  


Curso intensivo: "Japonés para viajes"


15 de febrero al 14 de marzo Centro Casa Asia-Madrid.

Más info  


Curso avanzado de idioma japonés Marugoto - nivel B1-4 (horario de tarde)


17 de febrero al 29 de junio Can Jaumandreu, Barcelona.

Más info  


Curso "Más allá del orden binario: diversidad de género y feminismo en culturas de Asia"


25 de febrero al 31 de marzo Centro Casa Asia-Madrid.

Más info  


Curso de mindfulness y meditación: aprende a calmar tu mente (tardes)


26 de febrero al 29 de abril Centro Casa Asia-Madrid.

Más info  


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